payment-ready until 2026-09-04
Polymarket intelligence on x402. Real-time prediction-market signals across 42K markets: quality-gated repricings with order-book microstructure, tracked-whale entries annotated with each wallet's hold-to-resolution calibration (follow/fade), and AI-detected predetermined-outcome markets — one unified, index-polled feed. The whale track record is verifiable and free. Paid endpoints settle per call via x402 (USDC on Base) — no account, no API key.
Pay from $0.01 to $1.00 in USDC on Base, settled onchain via the x402 protocol, no signup, no API key needed.
VERDICT
ranking generation 3strong 94/100 #58 of 252 in Data by measured score
What the score read on this service: status online, 99.9% uptime 30d, 583ms response p95, x402 compliance 14 of 14, $0.01 price against the category. Each of those is measured, and each is published in full below.
The score comes from our own monitoring, never from reviews, operator claims, or a language model: reliability, x402 compliance, price against the category, a deterministic risk flag, and a small on-chain traction term, weighted by ranking generation 3. It is not placement anyone can buy: the paid verify tier is reported beside it and is not one of its inputs. Every component below stays published and read-only.
It is a score inside Data, and only there: price and speed are scored against the whole category field, every listing in it that carries no danger flag, the scored service included, which here means 252 listings, this one among them. That set is wider than the 252 the position above is counted against, because a listing we have measured too little of to rank still sits in the field the price and the speed are normalized over. The same service in a different field would read differently. The same engine answers GET /api/v1/best, and asked for a different pool (the whole directory, or another filter) it returns a different number for this service under this same ranking generation. Neither is more correct: they answer different questions, and the methodology states which is which.
Bands on the 0 to 100 measured score: strong at 93 and above, solid from 75, mixed from 55, weak below 55. Price and speed are scored against the whole category field, every listing in it that carries no danger flag, the scored service included, so the score places a service in its own field.
ALTERNATIVES IN DATA
Other Data services in this directory, ordered by the same measured score. The figures are ours: 30-day uptime from our own probes, 30-day settlement volume read on-chain (a conservative undercount, and null where we cannot measure it, never a zero).
| SERVICE | BAND | SCORE | UPTIME 30D | VOL 30D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WebberSites x402 Data API | strong | 99 | 100% | --- |
| API Acre | strong | 99 | 99.6% | --- |
| AgentToll | strong | 99 | 100% | --- |
| ForgeMesh Utility APIs | strong | 99 | 100% | --- |
| AgentFund US Economic, SEC & On-Chain Data | strong | 98 | 100% | --- |
ASSESSMENT
updated 47m agoThe parts the verdict above is computed from, each with its proof. Click any chip. Measured values stay read-only; unknown is honest, and an unknown is never counted as a zero.
reliability 99.9%
- uptime 24h
- 100%
- uptime 7d
- 100%
- uptime 30d
- 99.9%
- uptime 90d
- 100%
- response p95
- 583ms
- avg response
- 271ms
- total checks
- 2,772
Measured on the unpaid 402 handshake, not the paid call. A service can 402 correctly and still fail after payment.
compliance A (14/14)
14 of 14 x402 conformance checks pass. Full checklist below.
price $0.01 to $1.00 (p58 in Data)
- price (min)
- $0.01
- price (max)
- $1.00
- category percentile (min)
- p58 in Data
- category percentile (max)
- p92 in Data
- endpoints / prices
- 6 / 6
- model
- tiered
- stability
- 100%
risk clean
No deterministic risk flag. Risk fires only on an exact blocklist match, or a reserved-brand name with a mismatched verified payTo. Never from low uptime, a high price, or a model guess.
- domain age
- 47d
- registrar
- Namecheap Inc.
- hosting
- custom
- domain created
- 2026-07-10
Identity facts, not a risk score.
traction ---
This service settles on a network x402-list does not measure yet, so on-chain volume is not counted here. Shown as unmeasured, not zero.
WHAT IT DOES
ai-derivedProvides Polymarket intelligence and prediction-market signals
- category
- prediction-market-data
- in
- query params
AI-generated summary. The measured data is never altered by it.
ENDPOINTS
| METHOD | PATH | DESCRIPTION | PRICE | NETWORK | ASSET | 402 CHANNEL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GET | /v1/digest | $0.10 | Base | USDC | header | |
| GET | /v1/research | $1.00 | Base | USDC | header | |
| GET | /v1/resolving | $0.02 | Base | USDC | header | |
| GET | /v1/signal | $0.01 | Base | USDC | header | |
| GET | /v1/signals | $0.03 | Base | USDC | header | |
| GET | /v1/whales | $0.05 | Base | USDC | header |
REQUEST / RESPONSE EXAMPLE
An unpaid request to GET /v1/digest returns HTTP 402 with the payment terms. Settle onchain via your facilitator, then retry with the X-Payment header.
curl -i 'https://api.orcatrace.dev/v1/digest'
// 402 response (captured by monitor) · 6 payloads · click to expand
[
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xf444abc53f5e1e73caec7df64d147ddb119514a0",
"amount": "10000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://api.orcatrace.dev/v1/signal",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Paid ($0.01 USDC via x402). One Polymarket feed item: quality-gated mover (vol>=$10k & depth>=$2.5k, +order-book microstructure), whale entry (named whale, with calibration + microstructure), or predetermined signal. Use ?index=N for a specific item, omit for latest. Compute-first / settle-after — you are never charged for an error."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"index": 1
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": {
"data": {},
"type": "mover",
"title": "Will the next US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?",
"createdAt": "2026-07-09T18:40:00.000Z",
"feedIndex": 1042
},
"charged": true,
"success": true
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"required": [],
"properties": {
"index": {
"type": "integer",
"description": "Feed index of the item to fetch. Omit for latest."
}
}
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
},
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xf444abc53f5e1e73caec7df64d147ddb119514a0",
"amount": "30000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://api.orcatrace.dev/v1/signals",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Paid ($0.03 USDC via x402). Batch Polymarket feed items (up to 20): quality-gated movers + order-book microstructure, whale entries with calibration, predetermined signals. Poll GET /v1/index (free), then ?since=N for new items; filter with &type=mover|whale_entry|predetermined. Compute-first / settle-after — you are never charged for an error."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"type": "example",
"count": 10,
"since": 1
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": [
{
"data": {},
"type": "mover",
"title": "Will the next US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?",
"createdAt": "2026-07-09T18:40:00.000Z",
"feedIndex": 1042
}
],
"count": 1,
"charged": true,
"filters": {
"type": "all",
"count": 10,
"since": 1000
},
"success": true
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"required": [],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"description": "Filter: mover, whale_entry, or predetermined."
},
"count": {
"type": "integer",
"maximum": 20,
"minimum": 1,
"description": "Max items (1-20, default 10)."
},
"since": {
"type": "integer",
"description": "Feed index to fetch items after (poll pattern)."
}
}
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
},
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xf444abc53f5e1e73caec7df64d147ddb119514a0",
"amount": "100000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://api.orcatrace.dev/v1/digest",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Paid ($0.10 USDC via x402). Polymarket Intelligence Digest (every 4h): what repriced and why across 42K markets — significant moves, whale positioning interpreted through calibration, predetermined-outcome signals, and international news context. Synthesized analysis, not raw data. Never serves stale: returns 503 if generation falls behind (no charge). Compute-first / settle-after — you are never charged for an error."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": {
"id": "clx0digest123",
"title": "US-Iran Diplomacy Repricing Drives the Board",
"summary": "A 50-point repricing on the Switzerland meeting market leads an otherwise quiet day…",
"createdAt": "2026-07-09T20:00:00.000Z",
"sourcesUsed": [
"polymarket",
"news"
],
"fullAnalysis": "## What Moved and Why\n…(400-800 words)…"
},
"charged": true,
"success": true
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"required": [],
"properties": {}
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
},
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xf444abc53f5e1e73caec7df64d147ddb119514a0",
"amount": "20000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://api.orcatrace.dev/v1/resolving",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Paid ($0.02 USDC via x402). Markets resolving within ?withinHours (1-72): odds, contested-vs-converged, liquidity, and order-book microstructure for the nearest expiries. Mechanical short-interval markets excluded by default (?includeNoise=1 to include). Settle-early with a guaranteed refund — if we charge you but cannot deliver, the payment is refunded."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"withinHours": 24,
"includeNoise": "example",
"minLiquidity": 5000
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": [
{
"yesMid": 0.83,
"question": "Will X happen by June 14?",
"convergence": "contested",
"eventEndDate": "2026-06-14T00:00:00Z",
"liquidityUsd": 41000,
"hoursRemaining": 22.5
}
],
"count": 1,
"filters": {
"withinHours": 24,
"includeNoise": false,
"minLiquidity": 5000
},
"success": true
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"required": [],
"properties": {
"withinHours": {
"type": "integer",
"maximum": 72,
"minimum": 1,
"description": "Horizon in hours (1-72)."
},
"includeNoise": {
"type": "string",
"description": "Set to 1 to include mechanical short-interval markets."
},
"minLiquidity": {
"type": "number",
"minimum": 1000,
"description": "Liquidity floor in USD (>=1000)."
}
}
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
},
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xf444abc53f5e1e73caec7df64d147ddb119514a0",
"amount": "50000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://api.orcatrace.dev/v1/whales",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Paid ($0.05 USDC via x402). Whale calibration table: per-wallet hold-to-resolution win rates by odds band, mirror/fade ROI, and follow/fade labels (min 30 resolved entries). The data behind the whale_entry annotations in the signal feed; the free proof is GET /v1/track-record. Settle-early with a guaranteed refund — if we charge you but cannot deliver, the payment is refunded."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": {
"wallets": [
{
"label": "fade",
"wallet": "0x9d84ce0306f8551e02efef1680475fc0f1dc1344",
"fadeRoi": 0.209,
"winRate": 0.082,
"resolved": 912,
"pseudonym": "Domer"
}
]
},
"success": true
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"required": [],
"properties": {}
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
},
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xf444abc53f5e1e73caec7df64d147ddb119514a0",
"amount": "1000000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://api.orcatrace.dev/v1/research",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Paid ($1.00 USDC via x402). Single-market deep-dive: 7-day price action + live order book + tracked-whale positioning with calibration + related international news, synthesized into a thesis with risks and an actionable bottom line. Generated on demand (10-60s); cached 30 minutes. Use ?market=<slug> from polymarket.com/market/<slug> or from our feed items. Settle-early with a guaranteed refund — if we charge you but cannot deliver, the payment is refunded."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"market": "example"
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": {
"market": {
"slug": "next-us-iran-meeting-switzerland",
"question": "Will the next US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?"
},
"analysis": {
"risks": [
"…"
],
"thesis": "…",
"whaleView": "…",
"bottomLine": "…",
"confidence": "medium"
}
},
"cached": false,
"success": true
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"market"
],
"properties": {
"market": {
"type": "string",
"description": "Polymarket market slug (from polymarket.com/market/<slug>)."
}
}
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
}
] OVER TIME
All charts use the 90d selector; each series spans only the dates it has data for. Every series is also served as JSON at /api/v1/services/orcatrace/price, /scores, /volume and /buyers. On-chain volume and distinct buyers are measured over the service's settlement address and are a conservative undercount (only settlements that reach a measured facilitator are counted). The on-chain series roll up hourly, so the latest day can be up to about an hour behind; distinct buyers are counted per payout address, so a service that settles to more than one address is an upper bound.
Median across 6 endpoints. Use the selector to isolate one.
checklist grew 11->14 on 2026-07-28; a step here is a metric change, not a regression
Measured site and economics pillars from the assessment history, so the latest value shown elsewhere on this page reads as a point on a trend rather than a permanent state.
COMPLIANCE
14/14 checks pass · grade Alast 402 captured 2026-07-14 · last up 2026-08-28
- 402 payload captured
- accepts[] array present
- payTo address recoverable
- payTo at accepts[0].payTo (conformant shape)
- payTo is a valid on-chain address
- atomic price declared
- atomic price in a sane range
- asset (token) address declared
- network resolves to CAIP-2
- payment scheme declared
- served over HTTPS
- declares the current x402 version (2)
- EIP-712 domain parameters present on every EVM entry
- x402 v2 envelope delivered in the payment-required header
SITE PILLARS
- homepage reachable
- openapi doc
- pricing page
- llms.txt
- robots.txt
- terms page
recent checks (18) live · click to expand
EMBED THIS BADGE
<a href="https://x402-list.com/services/orcatrace?utm_source=badge&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=embed"> <img src="https://x402-list.com/badge/orcatrace.svg" alt="OrcaTrace listed on x402-list" height="28"> </a>
[](https://x402-list.com/services/orcatrace?utm_source=badge&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=embed)
<a href="https://x402-list.com/services/orcatrace?utm_source=badge&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=embed"> <img src="https://x402-list.com/badge/orcatrace.svg?data=uptime" alt="OrcaTrace uptime on x402-list" height="28"> </a>