Quotient
payment-ready until 2026-10-15
imported from the x402 Bazaar, not submitted by the operator · own this service? claim it · or ask to be removed
Quotient prediction-market signals across Polymarket and Kalshi: market search and lookup, mispriced markets, asset price outlooks, portfolio, and X profile and search data.
Call it x402 v2
x402 v2
- Base URL
- https://quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com
- Payment
- x402 v2, header channel
$ curl -i 'https://quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com/api/v1/assets' An unpaid request returns HTTP 402 with the payment terms. Sign a payment authorization, then retry with the PAYMENT-SIGNATURE header.
Endpoints 15 paid routes on quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com
GET/api/v1/assets Base$0.005since 10-08
GET/api/v1/assets/search Base$0.01since 10-08
GET/api/v1/latest Base$0.02since 10-08
GET/api/v1/markets Base$0.005since 10-08
GET/api/v1/markets/lookup Base$0.005since 10-08
GET/api/v1/markets/mispriced Base$0.02since 10-08
GET/api/v1/markets/search Base$0.01since 10-08
GET/api/v1/portfolio Base$0.005since 10-08
7 more in Example 402 response
Prices as captured in the 402 response: median $0.01 across the 15 endpoints, unchanged since first capture.
Example 402 response
Endpoints and prices
| Method | Path | Description | Price | Network | Asset | 402 channel | Captured |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GET | / | No description | $0.005 | Base | USDC | header | since 10-08 |
| GET | / | No description | $0.01 | Base | USDC | header | since 10-08 |
| GET | / | No description | $0.02 | Base | USDC | header | since 10-08 |
| GET | / | No description | $0.005 | Base | USDC | header | since 10-08 |
| GET | / | No description | $0.005 | Base | USDC | header | since 10-08 |
| GET | / | No description | $0.02 | Base | USDC | header | since 10-08 |
| GET | / | No description | $0.01 | Base | USDC | header | since 10-08 |
| GET | / | No description | $0.005 | Base | USDC | header | since 10-08 |
| GET | / | No description | $0.01 | Base | USDC | header | since 10-08 |
| GET | / | No description | $0.01 | Base | USDC | header | since 10-08 |
| GET | / | No description | $0.005 | Base | USDC | header | since 10-08 |
| GET | / | No description | $0.01 | Base | USDC | header | since 10-08 |
| GET | / | No description | $0.005 | Base | USDC | header | since 10-08 |
| POST | / | No description | $1.00 | Base | USDC | header | since 10-08 |
| POST | / | No description | $1.00 | Base | USDC | header | since 10-08 |
Payment evidence
402 payload captured at . Check evidence JSON · Measurement methodology.
First of 15 payloads captured by the monitor.
243 lines, scroll inside
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xC3d01FD2F79d4c57aD106AB8ecc12a5dE24F97cB",
"amount": "10000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com/api/v1/markets/search",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Use this to search market titles plus the latest Q summary for a shortlist of recent, open contracts. Returns 10 results by default, at most 20. Use direct topic keywords. Useful alternate angles may use focused searches within a 10-second discovery budget. On a timeout, return candidates already found instead of retrying. Use explicit as_of only for historical questions. Search does not expand graph relationships or run embedding search."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"q": "oil supply disruption",
"tag": [
"oil"
],
"group_by": "event"
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"as_of": "2026-08-11T23:59:59.999Z",
"query": "oil supply disruption",
"events": [],
"facets": {
"tags": [
{
"count": 1,
"value": "oil"
}
],
"categories": []
},
"markets": [
{
"slug": "strait-of-hormuz-traffic-restored-by-september",
"tags": [
"oil",
"Strait of Hormuz"
],
"event": {
"id": "e1",
"slug": "hormuz-traffic",
"title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic"
},
"venue": "polymarket",
"thesis": "Q expects traffic normalization to remain constrained through the cutoff.",
"question": "Will Strait of Hormuz traffic be restored by September?",
"marketKey": "polymarket:123",
"marketUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/hormuz-traffic",
"relevance": {
"score": 0.0503,
"matched_by": [
"graph"
],
"matched_fields": [
"summary"
]
},
"sourceUrl": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/123",
"categories": [],
"forecast_at": "2026-08-11T20:14:03Z",
"market_odds": 0.42,
"venue_quote": {
"venue": "polymarket",
"yes_ask": 0.42,
"yes_bid": 0.42,
"yes_last": null,
"freshness": "verified",
"market_id": "123",
"observed_at": "2026-08-31T12:00:00Z",
"quote_method": "midpoint",
"schema_version": "1",
"venue_timestamp": "2026-08-31T12:00:00Z",
"selected_probability": 0.42
},
"has_forecast": true,
"seriesTicker": null,
"nativeEventId": "e1",
"nativeMarketId": "123",
"quotientMarketId": "123",
"has_published_signal": false,
"latest_q_probability": 0.57,
"published_signal_count": 0,
"market_odds_at_forecast": 0.4
}
],
"group_by": "event",
"retrieval": {
"graph": "ok",
"semantic": "unconfigured",
"typesense": "unconfigured"
},
"historical": true
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input",
"output"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method",
"queryParams"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"q": {
"type": "string"
},
"tag": {
"type": "array",
"items": {
"type": "string",
"maxLength": 80
}
},
"as_of": {
"type": "string"
},
"limit": {
"type": "integer",
"default": 10,
"maximum": 20,
"minimum": 1
},
"venue": {
"enum": [
"polymarket",
"polymarket_us",
"kalshi",
"hl_outcomes"
],
"type": "string",
"description": "Prediction-market venue key: polymarket (Polymarket International), polymarket_us (Polymarket US), kalshi, or hl_outcomes (HL Outcomes, Hyperliquid's outcome markets; covered sports game-winner markets only). HL Outcomes marketKeys contain # (hl_outcomes:#<outcome id>); percent-encode it as %23 in paths and query strings."
},
"category": {
"type": "array",
"items": {
"type": "string",
"maxLength": 80
}
},
"group_by": {
"enum": [
"market",
"event"
],
"type": "string",
"default": "market"
},
"max_forecast_age": {
"type": "integer",
"default": 168,
"maximum": 720,
"minimum": 1
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
},
"discoverable": true
},
"payment-identifier": {
"info": {
"required": false
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"required"
],
"properties": {
"id": {
"type": "string",
"pattern": "^[a-zA-Z0-9_-]+$",
"maxLength": 128,
"minLength": 16
},
"required": {
"type": "boolean"
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
} Other captured 402 responses (14)
Captured payload 2 of 15
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xC3d01FD2F79d4c57aD106AB8ecc12a5dE24F97cB",
"amount": "5000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com/api/v1/markets/lookup",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Use this to fetch full Quotient intelligence for up to ten markets across Polymarket International, Polymarket US, Kalshi, and HL Outcomes. Returns forecasts, theses, cited drivers, resolution pathways, venue odds, and quote provenance. Polymarket International and Kalshi fail closed when live pricing is unavailable. Prefer market_keys; legacy slugs and condition IDs default to Polymarket unless venue is supplied."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"market_keys": "kalshi:KXFED-26SEP-T4.00,polymarket_us:123"
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"results": [
{
"bluf": "Current inflation and labor data leave a September cut possible but not dominant.",
"slug": null,
"venue": "kalshi",
"question": "Will the federal funds target range be below 4.00% in September?",
"marketKey": "kalshi:KXFED-26SEP-T4.00",
"marketUrl": null,
"sourceUrl": null,
"key_drivers": [
{
"factor": "Core inflation remains above target",
"impact": "significant",
"citation": "https://example-news.com/inflation",
"direction": "against"
}
],
"key_factors": [
{
"impact": "significant",
"summary": "Core inflation remains above target",
"evidence": "Recent inflation data remains above target.",
"direction": "against",
"source_url": "https://example-news.com/inflation"
}
],
"market_odds": 0.36,
"venue_quote": {
"venue": "kalshi",
"yes_ask": 0.36,
"yes_bid": 0.36,
"yes_last": null,
"freshness": "verified",
"market_id": "KXFED-26SEP-T4.00",
"observed_at": "2026-08-31T12:00:00Z",
"quote_method": "midpoint",
"schema_version": "1",
"venue_timestamp": "2026-08-31T12:00:00Z",
"selected_probability": 0.36
},
"seriesTicker": "KXFED",
"nativeEventId": "KXFED-26SEP",
"quotient_odds": 0.43,
"nativeMarketId": "KXFED-26SEP-T4.00",
"recent_evidence": [
{
"url": "https://example-news.com/inflation",
"fact": "Recent inflation data remains above target.",
"title": "Inflation report",
"source": "Example News",
"published_at": "2026-08-10T12:00:00Z"
}
],
"quotientMarketId": "kalshi:KXFED-26SEP-T4.00"
}
],
"not_found": [
"polymarket_us:123"
]
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input",
"output"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method",
"queryParams"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"slugs": {
"type": "string"
},
"venue": {
"enum": [
"polymarket",
"polymarket_us",
"kalshi",
"hl_outcomes"
],
"type": "string",
"description": "Prediction-market venue key: polymarket (Polymarket International), polymarket_us (Polymarket US), kalshi, or hl_outcomes (HL Outcomes, Hyperliquid's outcome markets; covered sports game-winner markets only). HL Outcomes marketKeys contain # (hl_outcomes:#<outcome id>); percent-encode it as %23 in paths and query strings."
},
"market_keys": {
"type": "string"
},
"condition_ids": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
},
"discoverable": true
},
"payment-identifier": {
"info": {
"required": false
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"required"
],
"properties": {
"id": {
"type": "string",
"pattern": "^[a-zA-Z0-9_-]+$",
"maxLength": 128,
"minLength": 16
},
"required": {
"type": "boolean"
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
}Captured payload 3 of 15
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xC3d01FD2F79d4c57aD106AB8ecc12a5dE24F97cB",
"amount": "5000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com/api/v1/markets",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Use this to browse every prediction market Quotient tracks across Polymarket International, Polymarket US, Kalshi, and HL Outcomes, with venue odds and quote provenance, available volume, resolution date, and forecast recency. Polymarket International and Kalshi fail closed when live pricing is unavailable; other venues label graph snapshots stale. Filter by venue or topic; the complete covered catalog returns in one response."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"sort": "volume_desc",
"topic": "oil",
"max_forecast_age": 48
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"markets": [
{
"slug": null,
"tags": [
"Commodities",
"Metals",
"Gold"
],
"event": {
"id": "KXGOLD-26AUG",
"slug": null,
"title": "Gold price in August"
},
"venue": "kalshi",
"sports": null,
"quality": {
"live": {
"n": 0,
"tier": null,
"wins": null,
"voids": null,
"losses": null,
"reason": "quality_not_computed",
"status": "unavailable",
"event_n": 0,
"last_at": null,
"first_at": null,
"return_n": 0,
"benchmark": null,
"in_sample": false,
"drawdown_n": 0,
"accuracy_pct": null,
"interval_low": null,
"return_basis": null,
"win_rate_pct": null,
"win_return_n": 0,
"interval_high": null,
"loss_return_n": 0,
"avg_return_pct": null,
"mean_advantage": null,
"p10_return_pct": null,
"p90_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_reason": "no_trade_returns",
"price_error_pct": null,
"drawdown_last_at": null,
"drawdown_first_at": null,
"median_return_pct": null,
"avg_win_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_missing_n": 0,
"max_drawdown_units": null,
"avg_loss_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_duplicate_n": 0,
"benchmark_improvement_pct": null
},
"tier": null,
"basis": "binary_accuracy",
"cohort": {
"key": "",
"label": "No comparable record"
},
"reason": "quality_not_computed",
"status": "unavailable",
"version": "track-record-quality/1",
"historical": {
"n": 0,
"tier": null,
"wins": null,
"voids": null,
"losses": null,
"reason": "quality_not_computed",
"status": "unavailable",
"event_n": 0,
"last_at": null,
"first_at": null,
"return_n": 0,
"benchmark": null,
"in_sample": false,
"drawdown_n": 0,
"accuracy_pct": null,
"interval_low": null,
"return_basis": null,
"win_rate_pct": null,
"win_return_n": 0,
"interval_high": null,
"loss_return_n": 0,
"avg_return_pct": null,
"mean_advantage": null,
"p10_return_pct": null,
"p90_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_reason": "no_trade_returns",
"price_error_pct": null,
"drawdown_last_at": null,
"drawdown_first_at": null,
"median_return_pct": null,
"avg_win_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_missing_n": 0,
"max_drawdown_units": null,
"avg_loss_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_duplicate_n": 0,
"benchmark_improvement_pct": null
},
"updated_at": null,
"assessment_source": null
},
"end_date": "2026-08-31T20:00:00Z",
"question": "Will gold settle above $2,500 in August?",
"inDispute": false,
"marketKey": "kalshi:KXGOLD-26AUG-T2500",
"marketUrl": null,
"sourceUrl": null,
"categories": [
"Commodities"
],
"volume_24h": null,
"market_odds": 0.46,
"quotientUrl": "https://quotient.social/markets/kalshi%3AKXGOLD-26AUG-T2500",
"venue_quote": {
"venue": "kalshi",
"yes_ask": 0.46,
"yes_bid": 0.46,
"yes_last": null,
"freshness": "verified",
"market_id": "KXGOLD-26AUG-T2500",
"observed_at": "2026-08-31T12:00:00Z",
"quote_method": "midpoint",
"schema_version": "1",
"venue_timestamp": "2026-08-31T12:00:00Z",
"selected_probability": 0.46
},
"seriesTicker": "KXGOLD",
"signal_count": 0,
"nativeEventId": "KXGOLD-26AUG",
"polymarketUrl": null,
"return_record": null,
"clarifications": null,
"forecast_count": 1,
"nativeMarketId": "KXGOLD-26AUG-T2500",
"quotientMarketId": "kalshi:KXGOLD-26AUG-T2500",
"market_updated_at": "2026-08-08T15:02:11Z",
"latest_forecast_at": "2026-08-08T14:30:00Z",
"latest_forecast_id": null,
"latest_forecast_delta": 0.03,
"latest_forecast_refresh_reason": "price_move"
},
{
"slug": null,
"tags": [],
"event": {
"id": "KXNFLGAME-26SEP27ATLGB",
"slug": null,
"title": "Atlanta vs Green Bay"
},
"venue": "kalshi",
"sports": {
"sport": "football",
"league": "nfl",
"game_key": "nfl|atl|gb|20260927T1700",
"yes_side": {
"code": "gb",
"name": "Packers"
},
"game_title": "Atlanta vs Green Bay",
"kickoff_at": "2026-09-27T17:00:00.000Z"
},
"quality": {
"live": {
"n": 0,
"tier": null,
"wins": null,
"voids": null,
"losses": null,
"reason": "quality_not_computed",
"status": "unavailable",
"event_n": 0,
"last_at": null,
"first_at": null,
"return_n": 0,
"benchmark": null,
"in_sample": false,
"drawdown_n": 0,
"accuracy_pct": null,
"interval_low": null,
"return_basis": null,
"win_rate_pct": null,
"win_return_n": 0,
"interval_high": null,
"loss_return_n": 0,
"avg_return_pct": null,
"mean_advantage": null,
"p10_return_pct": null,
"p90_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_reason": "no_trade_returns",
"price_error_pct": null,
"drawdown_last_at": null,
"drawdown_first_at": null,
"median_return_pct": null,
"avg_win_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_missing_n": 0,
"max_drawdown_units": null,
"avg_loss_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_duplicate_n": 0,
"benchmark_improvement_pct": null
},
"tier": null,
"basis": "binary_accuracy",
"cohort": {
"key": "",
"label": "No comparable record"
},
"reason": "quality_not_computed",
"status": "unavailable",
"version": "track-record-quality/1",
"historical": {
"n": 0,
"tier": null,
"wins": null,
"voids": null,
"losses": null,
"reason": "quality_not_computed",
"status": "unavailable",
"event_n": 0,
"last_at": null,
"first_at": null,
"return_n": 0,
"benchmark": null,
"in_sample": false,
"drawdown_n": 0,
"accuracy_pct": null,
"interval_low": null,
"return_basis": null,
"win_rate_pct": null,
"win_return_n": 0,
"interval_high": null,
"loss_return_n": 0,
"avg_return_pct": null,
"mean_advantage": null,
"p10_return_pct": null,
"p90_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_reason": "no_trade_returns",
"price_error_pct": null,
"drawdown_last_at": null,
"drawdown_first_at": null,
"median_return_pct": null,
"avg_win_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_missing_n": 0,
"max_drawdown_units": null,
"avg_loss_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_duplicate_n": 0,
"benchmark_improvement_pct": null
},
"updated_at": null,
"assessment_source": null
},
"end_date": "2026-10-11T17:00:00Z",
"question": "Atlanta vs Green Bay Winner?",
"inDispute": false,
"marketKey": "kalshi:KXNFLGAME-26SEP27ATLGB-GB",
"marketUrl": null,
"sourceUrl": null,
"categories": [
"Sports"
],
"volume_24h": null,
"market_odds": 0.64,
"quotientUrl": "https://quotient.social/markets/kalshi%3AKXNFLGAME-26SEP27ATLGB-GB",
"venue_quote": {
"venue": "kalshi",
"yes_ask": 0.64,
"yes_bid": 0.64,
"yes_last": null,
"freshness": "verified",
"market_id": "KXNFLGAME-26SEP27ATLGB-GB",
"observed_at": "2026-08-31T12:00:00Z",
"quote_method": "midpoint",
"schema_version": "1",
"venue_timestamp": "2026-08-31T12:00:00Z",
"selected_probability": 0.64
},
"seriesTicker": "KXNFLGAME",
"signal_count": 0,
"nativeEventId": "KXNFLGAME-26SEP27ATLGB",
"polymarketUrl": null,
"return_record": null,
"clarifications": null,
"forecast_count": 1,
"nativeMarketId": "KXNFLGAME-26SEP27ATLGB-GB",
"quotientMarketId": "kalshi:KXNFLGAME-26SEP27ATLGB-GB",
"market_updated_at": "2026-09-26T15:02:11Z",
"latest_forecast_at": "2026-09-26T14:05:00Z",
"latest_forecast_id": null,
"latest_forecast_delta": null,
"latest_forecast_refresh_reason": null
}
],
"venue_facets": [
{
"count": 2,
"venue": "kalshi"
}
]
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input",
"output"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method",
"queryParams"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"sort": {
"enum": [
"updated_desc",
"volume_desc",
"signal_count_desc",
"quality"
],
"type": "string"
},
"topic": {
"type": "string"
},
"venue": {
"enum": [
"polymarket",
"polymarket_us",
"kalshi",
"hl_outcomes"
],
"type": "string",
"description": "Prediction-market venue key: polymarket (Polymarket International), polymarket_us (Polymarket US), kalshi, or hl_outcomes (HL Outcomes, Hyperliquid's outcome markets; covered sports game-winner markets only). HL Outcomes marketKeys contain # (hl_outcomes:#<outcome id>); percent-encode it as %23 in paths and query strings."
},
"league": {
"enum": [
"atp",
"wta",
"cfb",
"nfl",
"mlb",
"wnba",
"nba",
"nhl",
"mls",
"epl",
"pga",
"dpwt",
"lpga",
"f1"
],
"type": "string"
},
"changed_within": {
"type": "integer",
"maximum": 168,
"minimum": 1
},
"max_forecast_age": {
"type": "integer",
"default": 48,
"minimum": 1
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
},
"discoverable": true
},
"payment-identifier": {
"info": {
"required": false
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"required"
],
"properties": {
"id": {
"type": "string",
"pattern": "^[a-zA-Z0-9_-]+$",
"maxLength": 128,
"minLength": 16
},
"required": {
"type": "boolean"
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
}Captured payload 4 of 15
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xC3d01FD2F79d4c57aD106AB8ecc12a5dE24F97cB",
"amount": "5000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com/api/v1/sources",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "The news and X/Twitter evidence behind Quotient forecasts on Polymarket International, Polymarket US, Kalshi, and HL Outcomes: recent articles and relevant posts for up to ten markets, with reasoning, evidence quotes, source tiers, authors, and canonical routing. Prefer market_keys for cross-venue or nullable-slug rows. Use this to audit a forecast or see what is moving event and asset-linked markets."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"types": "article,x_post",
"window": 48,
"markets": "russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2026"
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"sources": [
{
"url": "https://example-news.com/kremlin-talks",
"type": "article",
"title": "Kremlin rules out talks before autumn",
"market": {
"slug": "russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2026",
"venue": "polymarket",
"marketKey": "polymarket:512345",
"marketUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2026",
"sourceUrl": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/512345",
"seriesTicker": null,
"nativeEventId": "event-123",
"nativeMarketId": "512345",
"quotientMarketId": "512345"
},
"feed_tier": "primary",
"is_expert": null,
"relevance": {
"reasoning": "Directly addresses the ceasefire negotiation timeline.",
"confidence": "high",
"evidence_quote": "No conditions exist for negotiations before autumn."
},
"market_slug": "russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2026",
"source_name": "Reuters",
"published_at": "2026-08-01T07:40:00Z",
"author_handle": null
},
{
"url": "https://x.com/osint_account/status/1950000000000000000",
"type": "x_post",
"title": null,
"market": {
"slug": "russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2026",
"venue": "polymarket",
"marketKey": "polymarket:512345",
"marketUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2026",
"sourceUrl": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/512345",
"seriesTicker": null,
"nativeEventId": "event-123",
"nativeMarketId": "512345",
"quotientMarketId": "512345"
},
"feed_tier": "specialist",
"is_expert": true,
"relevance": {
"reasoning": "First-hand report on frontline posture relevant to ceasefire feasibility.",
"confidence": "interesting",
"evidence_quote": "Rotation activity continues on both axes."
},
"market_slug": "russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2026",
"source_name": null,
"published_at": "2026-07-31T22:10:00Z",
"author_handle": "osint_account"
}
]
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input",
"output"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method",
"queryParams"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"types": {
"type": "string"
},
"venue": {
"enum": [
"polymarket",
"polymarket_us",
"kalshi",
"hl_outcomes"
],
"type": "string",
"description": "Prediction-market venue key: polymarket (Polymarket International), polymarket_us (Polymarket US), kalshi, or hl_outcomes (HL Outcomes, Hyperliquid's outcome markets; covered sports game-winner markets only). HL Outcomes marketKeys contain # (hl_outcomes:#<outcome id>); percent-encode it as %23 in paths and query strings."
},
"window": {
"type": "integer",
"default": 48,
"maximum": 168,
"minimum": 1
},
"markets": {
"type": "string"
},
"market_keys": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
},
"discoverable": true
},
"payment-identifier": {
"info": {
"required": false
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"required"
],
"properties": {
"id": {
"type": "string",
"pattern": "^[a-zA-Z0-9_-]+$",
"maxLength": 128,
"minLength": 16
},
"required": {
"type": "boolean"
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
}Captured payload 5 of 15
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xC3d01FD2F79d4c57aD106AB8ecc12a5dE24F97cB",
"amount": "5000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com/api/v1/signals/featured",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Use this to read Quotient's featured signal, or null. A sports signal returns one game-level pick and markets[] with every linked venue listing; no venue is primary or preferred. Each listing has its own signal_side, price, and availability. Non-sports signals retain their market and pricing fields."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"window": 24
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"signal": {
"id": "qs_a41d2c",
"side": "NO",
"market": {
"slug": "russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2026",
"venue": "polymarket",
"question": "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?",
"marketKey": "polymarket:512345",
"marketUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2026",
"sourceUrl": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/512345",
"volume_24h": 184233.5,
"market_odds": 0.36,
"seriesTicker": null,
"nativeEventId": "event-123",
"nativeMarketId": "512345",
"quotientMarketId": "512345"
},
"thesis": "Q sees no credible path to a ceasefire before the market deadline.",
"entry_q": 29,
"entry_pm": 38,
"latest_q": 0.29,
"is_active": true,
"key_factors": [],
"max_roi_pct": 56,
"q_value_cents": 71,
"entry_spread_pp": 9,
"forecast_status": {
"basis": "since_forecast",
"cents": 3,
"state": "converging",
"price_source": "live",
"adverse_move_pct": -4.2
},
"recent_evidence": [],
"capacity_usd_at_2c": 5400,
"current_cost_cents": 64,
"converge_upside_pct": 11,
"distance_to_convergence_cents": 7
},
"featured_by": "auto"
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input",
"output"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method",
"queryParams"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"window": {
"type": "integer",
"default": 24,
"maximum": 168,
"minimum": 1
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
},
"discoverable": true
},
"payment-identifier": {
"info": {
"required": false
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"required"
],
"properties": {
"id": {
"type": "string",
"pattern": "^[a-zA-Z0-9_-]+$",
"maxLength": 128,
"minLength": 16
},
"required": {
"type": "boolean"
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
}Captured payload 6 of 15
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xC3d01FD2F79d4c57aD106AB8ecc12a5dE24F97cB",
"amount": "10000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com/api/v1/signals",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Use this to read published Quotient signals. Sports signals return one game-level pick and markets[] with every linked venue listing, its signal_side, price, and availability. No venue is primary or preferred. Missing quotes do not hide listings. Venue filters find games available there and retain all listings. Non-sports signals retain their market, pricing, and lifecycle fields."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"side": "NO",
"status": "active",
"min_capacity_usd": 500,
"exclude_drawdown_risk": true
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"signals": [
{
"id": "3f9d2c1e-6b7a-4f7e-9c2d-1a2b3c4d5e6f",
"side": "NO",
"market": {
"slug": "russia-ukraine-ceasefire-2026",
"venue": "polymarket",
"end_date": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"question": "Will there be a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?",
"marketKey": "polymarket:789012",
"marketUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-2026",
"sourceUrl": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/789012",
"volume_24h": 120000,
"market_odds": 0.42,
"quotientUrl": "https://quotient.social/markets/789012",
"condition_id": "0x1234abcd",
"seriesTicker": null,
"nativeEventId": "34567",
"polymarketUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-2026",
"nativeMarketId": "789012",
"quotientMarketId": "789012"
},
"q_side": "NO",
"sleeve": null,
"sports": null,
"thesis": "Q sees the ceasefire conditions as unlikely to be met before year-end.",
"entry_q": 22,
"in_play": false,
"quality": {
"live": {
"n": 0,
"tier": null,
"wins": null,
"voids": null,
"losses": null,
"reason": "quality_not_computed",
"status": "unavailable",
"event_n": 0,
"last_at": null,
"first_at": null,
"return_n": 0,
"benchmark": null,
"in_sample": false,
"drawdown_n": 0,
"accuracy_pct": null,
"interval_low": null,
"return_basis": null,
"win_rate_pct": null,
"win_return_n": 0,
"interval_high": null,
"loss_return_n": 0,
"avg_return_pct": null,
"mean_advantage": null,
"p10_return_pct": null,
"p90_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_reason": "no_trade_returns",
"price_error_pct": null,
"drawdown_last_at": null,
"drawdown_first_at": null,
"median_return_pct": null,
"avg_win_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_missing_n": 0,
"max_drawdown_units": null,
"avg_loss_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_duplicate_n": 0,
"benchmark_improvement_pct": null
},
"tier": null,
"basis": "signal_returns",
"cohort": {
"key": "",
"label": "No comparable record"
},
"reason": "quality_not_computed",
"status": "unavailable",
"version": "track-record-quality/1",
"historical": {
"n": 0,
"tier": null,
"wins": null,
"voids": null,
"losses": null,
"reason": "quality_not_computed",
"status": "unavailable",
"event_n": 0,
"last_at": null,
"first_at": null,
"return_n": 0,
"benchmark": null,
"in_sample": false,
"drawdown_n": 0,
"accuracy_pct": null,
"interval_low": null,
"return_basis": null,
"win_rate_pct": null,
"win_return_n": 0,
"interval_high": null,
"loss_return_n": 0,
"avg_return_pct": null,
"mean_advantage": null,
"p10_return_pct": null,
"p90_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_reason": "no_trade_returns",
"price_error_pct": null,
"drawdown_last_at": null,
"drawdown_first_at": null,
"median_return_pct": null,
"avg_win_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_missing_n": 0,
"max_drawdown_units": null,
"avg_loss_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_duplicate_n": 0,
"benchmark_improvement_pct": null
},
"updated_at": null,
"assessment_source": null
},
"entry_pm": 44,
"is_fresh": true,
"latest_q": 0.22,
"is_active": true,
"pick_type": null,
"priced_at": "2026-08-01T16:00:00Z",
"created_at": "2026-08-01T14:15:00Z",
"pick_label": null,
"key_factors": [],
"live_priced": true,
"max_roi_pct": 72,
"resolves_at": null,
"venue_quote": {
"venue": "polymarket",
"yes_ask": 0.43,
"yes_bid": 0.41,
"yes_last": 0.42,
"freshness": "verified",
"market_id": "789012",
"observed_at": "2026-08-01T16:00:00Z",
"quote_method": "midpoint",
"schema_version": "1",
"venue_timestamp": "2026-08-01T15:59:59Z",
"selected_probability": 0.42
},
"window_days": 12,
"basis_status": "verified",
"is_new_today": false,
"published_at": "2026-08-01T14:15:00Z",
"rule_version": null,
"sleeve_group": null,
"entry_edge_pp": null,
"q_value_cents": 78,
"return_record": null,
"capacity_as_of": "2026-08-01T02:31:00Z",
"capacity_basis": "depth-2c",
"retired_reason": null,
"similar_trades": null,
"entry_spread_pp": 22,
"forecast_status": {
"basis": "since_forecast",
"cents": 0,
"state": "sideways",
"price_source": "live",
"adverse_move_pct": -3.6
},
"recent_evidence": [],
"entry_cost_cents": 56,
"entry_side_price": null,
"grounding_status": "actionable",
"capacity_available": true,
"capacity_usd_at_2c": 3400,
"current_cost_cents": 58,
"resolves_in_window": false,
"suppression_reason": null,
"converge_upside_pct": 34,
"crash_risk_elevated": false,
"execution_reference": null,
"forecast_updated_at": "2026-08-03T16:20:00Z",
"resolution_reference": {
"value": null,
"basis_id": "basis:polymarket:789012:rules-v3",
"provider": "polymarket",
"freshness": "verified",
"instrument_id": "789012",
"observable_id": "polymarket:789012:rules",
"mapping_status": "verified",
"schema_version": "1",
"settlement_spec_id": "settlement:polymarket:789012:v3",
"forecast_target_key": "target:polymarket:789012:v3"
},
"drawdown_risk_elevated": false,
"distance_to_convergence_cents": 20
},
{
"id": "7c1e4b2a-0d3f-4e5a-8b6c-9d0e1f2a3b4c",
"kind": "sports_game",
"pick": {
"code": "sea",
"label": "Seahawks",
"probability": 0.52,
"entry_probability": 0.52
},
"sleeve": "sports",
"sports": {
"sport": "football",
"league": "nfl",
"game_key": "nfl:2026-10-04:sea-was",
"game_title": "Seattle vs Washington",
"kickoff_at": "2026-10-04T20:25:00.000Z"
},
"thesis": "Q favors Seattle's pass rush against Washington's injured offensive line.",
"in_play": false,
"markets": [
{
"slug": null,
"venue": "kalshi",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"sports": {
"sport": "football",
"league": "nfl",
"game_key": "nfl:2026-10-04:sea-was",
"yes_side": {
"code": "sea",
"name": "Seahawks"
},
"game_title": "Seattle vs Washington",
"kickoff_at": "2026-10-04T20:25:00.000Z"
},
"edge_pp": 6,
"end_date": "2026-10-18T20:25:00Z",
"outcomes": [],
"question": "Seattle at Washington Winner?",
"marketKey": "kalshi:KXNFLGAME-26OCT04SEAWAS-SEA",
"marketUrl": null,
"priced_at": "2026-10-04T17:30:00Z",
"sourceUrl": null,
"volume_24h": 412000,
"live_priced": true,
"market_odds": 0.46,
"quotientUrl": "https://quotient.social/markets/kalshi%3AKXNFLGAME-26OCT04SEAWAS-SEA",
"signal_side": "YES",
"venue_quote": {
"venue": "kalshi",
"yes_ask": 0.47,
"yes_bid": 0.45,
"yes_last": 0.46,
"freshness": "verified",
"market_id": "KXNFLGAME-26OCT04SEAWAS-SEA",
"observed_at": "2026-10-04T17:30:00Z",
"quote_method": "midpoint",
"schema_version": "1",
"venue_timestamp": "2026-10-04T17:29:58Z",
"selected_probability": 0.46
},
"yes_outcome": null,
"condition_id": null,
"seriesTicker": "KXNFLGAME",
"nativeEventId": "KXNFLGAME-26OCT04SEAWAS",
"polymarketUrl": null,
"capacity_as_of": "2026-10-03T15:10:00Z",
"capacity_basis": "depth-2c",
"entry_eligible": true,
"nativeMarketId": "KXNFLGAME-26OCT04SEAWAS-SEA",
"signal_outcome": null,
"forecast_status": {
"basis": "since_forecast",
"cents": 2,
"state": "converging",
"price_source": "live",
"adverse_move_pct": -4.5
},
"entry_side_price": 0.44,
"quotientMarketId": "kalshi:KXNFLGAME-26OCT04SEAWAS-SEA",
"signal_available": true,
"entry_price_basis": "publication",
"capacity_available": true,
"capacity_usd_at_2c": 5200,
"current_cost_cents": 46
},
{
"slug": "nfl-sea-was-2026-10-04",
"venue": "polymarket",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"sports": {
"sport": "football",
"league": "nfl",
"game_key": "nfl:2026-10-04:sea-was",
"yes_side": {
"code": "was",
"name": "Commanders",
"canonical_name": "Washington"
},
"game_title": "Seattle vs Washington",
"kickoff_at": "2026-10-04T20:25:00.000Z"
},
"edge_pp": 7,
"end_date": "2026-10-18T20:25:00Z",
"outcomes": [
{
"index": 0,
"label": "Seahawks",
"token_id": null
},
{
"index": 1,
"label": "Commanders",
"token_id": null
}
],
"question": "Seattle at Washington Winner?",
"marketKey": "polymarket:4801681",
"marketUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-sea-was-2026-10-04",
"priced_at": "2026-10-04T17:30:00Z",
"sourceUrl": null,
"volume_24h": 412000,
"live_priced": true,
"market_odds": 0.55,
"quotientUrl": "https://quotient.social/markets/4801681",
"signal_side": "NO",
"venue_quote": {
"venue": "polymarket",
"yes_ask": 0.56,
"yes_bid": 0.54,
"yes_last": 0.55,
"freshness": "verified",
"market_id": "4801681",
"observed_at": "2026-10-04T17:30:00Z",
"quote_method": "midpoint",
"schema_version": "1",
"venue_timestamp": "2026-10-04T17:29:58Z",
"selected_probability": 0.55
},
"yes_outcome": {
"index": 1,
"label": "Commanders",
"token_id": null
},
"condition_id": "0xexample",
"seriesTicker": null,
"nativeEventId": "sea-was",
"polymarketUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-sea-was-2026-10-04",
"capacity_as_of": null,
"capacity_basis": "volume-fallback",
"entry_eligible": true,
"nativeMarketId": "4801681",
"signal_outcome": {
"index": 0,
"label": "Seahawks",
"token_id": null
},
"forecast_status": {
"basis": "since_forecast",
"cents": 2,
"state": "converging",
"price_source": "live",
"adverse_move_pct": -4.5
},
"entry_side_price": 0.45,
"quotientMarketId": "4801681",
"signal_available": true,
"entry_price_basis": "forecast_snapshot",
"capacity_available": null,
"capacity_usd_at_2c": null,
"current_cost_cents": 45
}
],
"quality": {
"live": {
"n": 0,
"tier": null,
"wins": null,
"voids": null,
"losses": null,
"reason": "quality_not_computed",
"status": "unavailable",
"event_n": 0,
"last_at": null,
"first_at": null,
"return_n": 0,
"benchmark": null,
"in_sample": false,
"drawdown_n": 0,
"accuracy_pct": null,
"interval_low": null,
"return_basis": null,
"win_rate_pct": null,
"win_return_n": 0,
"interval_high": null,
"loss_return_n": 0,
"avg_return_pct": null,
"mean_advantage": null,
"p10_return_pct": null,
"p90_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_reason": "no_trade_returns",
"price_error_pct": null,
"drawdown_last_at": null,
"drawdown_first_at": null,
"median_return_pct": null,
"avg_win_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_missing_n": 0,
"max_drawdown_units": null,
"avg_loss_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_duplicate_n": 0,
"benchmark_improvement_pct": null
},
"tier": null,
"basis": "signal_returns",
"cohort": {
"key": "",
"label": "No comparable record"
},
"reason": "quality_not_computed",
"status": "unavailable",
"version": "track-record-quality/1",
"historical": {
"n": 0,
"tier": null,
"wins": null,
"voids": null,
"losses": null,
"reason": "quality_not_computed",
"status": "unavailable",
"event_n": 0,
"last_at": null,
"first_at": null,
"return_n": 0,
"benchmark": null,
"in_sample": false,
"drawdown_n": 0,
"accuracy_pct": null,
"interval_low": null,
"return_basis": null,
"win_rate_pct": null,
"win_return_n": 0,
"interval_high": null,
"loss_return_n": 0,
"avg_return_pct": null,
"mean_advantage": null,
"p10_return_pct": null,
"p90_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_reason": "no_trade_returns",
"price_error_pct": null,
"drawdown_last_at": null,
"drawdown_first_at": null,
"median_return_pct": null,
"avg_win_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_missing_n": 0,
"max_drawdown_units": null,
"avg_loss_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_duplicate_n": 0,
"benchmark_improvement_pct": null
},
"updated_at": null,
"assessment_source": null
},
"is_fresh": true,
"is_active": true,
"created_at": "2026-10-03T15:10:00Z",
"pick_label": "Seahawks",
"key_factors": [],
"resolves_at": "2026-10-04T20:25:00.000Z",
"is_new_today": false,
"published_at": "2026-10-03T15:10:00Z",
"rule_version": "one-signal/1",
"sleeve_group": "sports",
"return_record": null,
"retired_reason": null,
"similar_trades": {
"n": 23,
"wins": 15,
"level": "sleeve_pick",
"voids": 0,
"losses": 8,
"n_live": 2,
"sleeve": "sports",
"n_replay": 21,
"edge_band": null,
"pick_type": "underdog",
"units_won": 14.12,
"avg_win_pct": 147.2,
"computed_at": "2026-10-04T17:05:00.000Z",
"avg_loss_pct": -100,
"sleeve_group": "sports",
"win_rate_pct": 65.2,
"avg_return_pct": 61.4,
"win_loss_ratio": 1.88
},
"recent_evidence": [],
"forecast_updated_at": "2026-10-04T17:30:00Z"
}
]
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input",
"output"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method",
"queryParams"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"side": {
"enum": [
"YES",
"NO"
],
"type": "string"
},
"sort": {
"enum": [
"quality"
],
"type": "string"
},
"topic": {
"type": "string"
},
"venue": {
"enum": [
"polymarket",
"polymarket_us",
"kalshi",
"hl_outcomes"
],
"type": "string",
"description": "Prediction-market venue key: polymarket (Polymarket International), polymarket_us (Polymarket US), kalshi, or hl_outcomes (HL Outcomes, Hyperliquid's outcome markets; covered sports game-winner markets only). HL Outcomes marketKeys contain # (hl_outcomes:#<outcome id>); percent-encode it as %23 in paths and query strings."
},
"market": {
"type": "string"
},
"status": {
"type": "string"
},
"window": {
"type": "integer",
"maximum": 168,
"minimum": 1
},
"min_capacity_usd": {
"type": "number",
"minimum": 0
},
"exclude_crash_risk": {
"type": "boolean",
"default": false
},
"exclude_drawdown_risk": {
"type": "boolean",
"default": false
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
},
"discoverable": true
},
"payment-identifier": {
"info": {
"required": false
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"required"
],
"properties": {
"id": {
"type": "string",
"pattern": "^[a-zA-Z0-9_-]+$",
"maxLength": 128,
"minLength": 16
},
"required": {
"type": "boolean"
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
}Captured payload 7 of 15
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xC3d01FD2F79d4c57aD106AB8ecc12a5dE24F97cB",
"amount": "5000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com/api/v1/portfolio",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Wallet-addressed positions across Polymarket, Polymarket perps, and Hyperliquid, each prediction-market position joined to Quotient's forecast, signal, and a pricing read against the position's own side. Use this for wallet size, prices, PnL, and Q alignment. venues=all covers every venue; omitting venues keeps the legacy Polymarket-only shape. Kalshi and Polymarket US are absent only for lack of a keyless wallet read, with coverage available through the market API."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"venues": "polymarket,hyperliquid",
"wallet": "0xEE4E0EB3A626713F5Efa98DB422fA73FdD1e94b8",
"size_threshold": 1
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"as_of": "2026-08-01T16:03:11Z",
"wallet": "0xee4e0eb3a626713f5efa98db422fa73fdd1e94b8",
"positions": [
{
"size": 120.5,
"slug": "russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2026",
"title": "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?",
"outcome": "No",
"cash_pnl": 7.23,
"quotient": {
"signal": {
"id": "qs_a41d2c",
"side": "NO",
"is_active": true
},
"covered": true,
"forecast": {
"id": "fc_9f2c1a",
"bluf": "Negotiation preconditions have hardened; no credible path to a 2026 ceasefire.",
"thesis": "Negotiation preconditions have hardened, leaving no credible path to a 2026 ceasefire.",
"probability": 0.29,
"delta_from_prior": -0.04
},
"convergence": {
"q_side": "NO",
"aligned": true,
"max_roi_pct": 56,
"q_value_cents": 71,
"current_cost_cents": 64,
"converge_upside_pct": 11,
"distance_to_convergence_cents": 7
}
},
"avg_price": 0.58,
"cur_price": 0.64,
"percent_pnl": 10.34,
"current_value_usd": 77.12
}
],
"unmatched": [],
"value_usd": 1243.87,
"covered_count": 4,
"positions_count": 6,
"unmatched_count": 2,
"positions_capped": false
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input",
"output"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method",
"queryParams"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"venues": {
"type": "string"
},
"wallet": {
"type": "string"
},
"include_perps": {
"type": "boolean",
"default": false
},
"size_threshold": {
"type": "number",
"default": 1,
"minimum": 0
},
"polymarket_wallet": {
"type": "string"
},
"hyperliquid_wallet": {
"type": "string"
},
"polymarket_perps_wallet": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
},
"discoverable": true
},
"payment-identifier": {
"info": {
"required": false
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"required"
],
"properties": {
"id": {
"type": "string",
"pattern": "^[a-zA-Z0-9_-]+$",
"maxLength": 128,
"minLength": 16
},
"required": {
"type": "boolean"
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
}Captured payload 8 of 15
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xC3d01FD2F79d4c57aD106AB8ecc12a5dE24F97cB",
"amount": "1000000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com/api/v1/x/search",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "High-reasoning, adaptive X/Twitter research grounded in citations, powered by Grok. Within a hard three-turn ceiling, it runs multiple targeted searches over a 365-day default/maximum window and returns substantive posts, replies, quote posts, or thread entries plus accounts, a synthesis, gaps, and citations. Use this for sourced research on breaking news, geopolitics, macro, crypto, and event markets using retrieved evidence."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"body": {
"limit": 15,
"query": "What evidence is changing the odds of a 2026 Ukraine ceasefire?",
"market_slugs": [
"russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2026"
]
},
"type": "http",
"method": "POST",
"bodyType": "json"
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"gaps": [
"No primary-source confirmation of a negotiation timetable."
],
"meta": {
"result_count": 1,
"cost_controls": {
"max_turns": 3
},
"lookback_days": 365,
"search_tool_runs": 3
},
"posts": [
{
"url": "https://x.com/osint_account/status/1950000000000000000",
"stance": "supports_no",
"post_id": "1950000000000000000",
"relevance": "First-hand report on frontline posture relevant to ceasefire feasibility.",
"author_name": "OSINT Account",
"published_at": "2026-07-31T22:10:00Z",
"author_handle": "osint_account",
"author_metadata": {
"is_quotient_expert": true
},
"relevant_excerpt": "Rotation activity continues on both axes.",
"linked_market_slugs": [
"russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2026"
]
}
],
"query": "What evidence is changing the odds of a 2026 Ukraine ceasefire?",
"summary": "Reporting over the window points to hardening preconditions, with no credible negotiation track before autumn.",
"accounts": [
{
"handle": "osint_account",
"profile_url": "https://x.com/osint_account",
"display_name": "OSINT Account",
"quotient_metadata": {
"is_quotient_expert": true
}
}
],
"citations": [
"https://x.com/osint_account/status/1950000000000000000"
],
"quotient_markets": []
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input",
"output"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method",
"bodyType",
"body"
],
"properties": {
"body": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"query"
],
"properties": {
"limit": {
"type": "integer",
"default": 8,
"maximum": 15,
"minimum": 1
},
"query": {
"type": "string",
"maxLength": 4000,
"minLength": 1
},
"to_date": {
"type": "string",
"format": "date",
"description": "Inclusive YYYY-MM-DD. Defaults to today; from_date still must be no more than 365 days earlier."
},
"from_date": {
"type": "string",
"format": "date",
"description": "Inclusive YYYY-MM-DD. Defaults to 365 days before to_date; the maximum span is 365 days."
},
"market_slugs": {
"type": "array",
"items": {
"type": "string"
},
"maxItems": 10,
"description": "Optional cached Quotient markets to pair with X results."
},
"allowed_x_handles": {
"type": "array",
"items": {
"type": "string"
},
"maxItems": 20,
"description": "Optional provider-enforced account allowlist."
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"POST"
],
"type": "string"
},
"bodyType": {
"enum": [
"json"
],
"type": "string"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
},
"discoverable": true
},
"payment-identifier": {
"info": {
"required": false
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"required"
],
"properties": {
"id": {
"type": "string",
"pattern": "^[a-zA-Z0-9_-]+$",
"maxLength": 128,
"minLength": 16
},
"required": {
"type": "boolean"
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
}Captured payload 9 of 15
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xC3d01FD2F79d4c57aD106AB8ecc12a5dE24F97cB",
"amount": "10000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com/api/v1/signals/perps",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Deprecated compatibility alias for GET /api/v1/price-outlooks. New clients should use the canonical price-outlooks route and tool."
},
"extensions": {
"payment-identifier": {
"info": {
"required": false
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"required"
],
"properties": {
"id": {
"type": "string",
"pattern": "^[a-zA-Z0-9_-]+$",
"maxLength": 128,
"minLength": 16
},
"required": {
"type": "boolean"
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
}Captured payload 10 of 15
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xC3d01FD2F79d4c57aD106AB8ecc12a5dE24F97cB",
"amount": "20000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com/api/v1/markets/mispriced",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Use this to rank covered markets where Quotient's probability differs from a verified live venue quote. The endpoint batches live reads, then applies the odds band, spread threshold, direction, and sort to one selected quote. Missing, stale, and unsupported live quotes are excluded. Returns quote provenance, routing, Q probability, spread, thesis, and venue-reported volume."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"sort": "spread_desc",
"min_spread": 0.08,
"max_forecast_age": 48
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"count": 1,
"markets": [
{
"bluf": "Persistent inflation data makes a June cut unlikely.",
"slug": "fed-rate-cut-june-2026",
"venue": "polymarket",
"spread": 0.12,
"end_date": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"question": "Will the Fed cut rates by June 2026?",
"inDispute": false,
"marketKey": "polymarket:123456",
"marketUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-june-2026",
"sourceUrl": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/123456",
"volume_24h": 182400,
"market_odds": 0.46,
"quotientUrl": "https://quotient.social/markets/123456",
"venue_quote": {
"venue": "polymarket",
"yes_ask": 0.46,
"yes_bid": 0.46,
"yes_last": null,
"freshness": "verified",
"market_id": "123456",
"observed_at": "2026-08-31T12:00:00Z",
"quote_method": "midpoint",
"schema_version": "1",
"venue_timestamp": "2026-08-31T12:00:00Z",
"selected_probability": 0.46
},
"last_updated": "2026-03-05T14:30:00Z",
"seriesTicker": null,
"signal_count": 5,
"nativeEventId": "98765",
"polymarketUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-june-2026",
"quotient_odds": 0.34,
"clarifications": "Rate cut markets resolve based on the upper bound of the target range.",
"nativeMarketId": "123456",
"quotientMarketId": "123456",
"spread_direction": "q_lower"
}
]
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input",
"output"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method",
"queryParams"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"sort": {
"enum": [
"spread_desc",
"spread_asc",
"updated_desc",
"volume_desc",
"quality"
],
"type": "string"
},
"topic": {
"type": "string"
},
"venue": {
"enum": [
"polymarket",
"polymarket_us",
"kalshi",
"hl_outcomes"
],
"type": "string",
"description": "Prediction-market venue key: polymarket (Polymarket International), polymarket_us (Polymarket US), kalshi, or hl_outcomes (HL Outcomes, Hyperliquid's outcome markets; covered sports game-winner markets only). HL Outcomes marketKeys contain # (hl_outcomes:#<outcome id>); percent-encode it as %23 in paths and query strings."
},
"min_spread": {
"type": "number",
"default": 0.05,
"maximum": 1,
"minimum": 0
},
"max_forecast_age": {
"type": "integer",
"default": 48,
"minimum": 1
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
},
"discoverable": true
},
"payment-identifier": {
"info": {
"required": false
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"required"
],
"properties": {
"id": {
"type": "string",
"pattern": "^[a-zA-Z0-9_-]+$",
"maxLength": 128,
"minLength": 16
},
"required": {
"type": "boolean"
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
}Captured payload 11 of 15
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xC3d01FD2F79d4c57aD106AB8ecc12a5dE24F97cB",
"amount": "10000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com/api/v1/price-outlooks",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Use this endpoint to read calibrated asset price outlooks across equities, crypto, and commodities, grouped by settlement source and horizon. Each returns five scenarios plus a labeled whole-curve directional take. The nearest still-open horizon is marked without hiding neutral views. A PriceSignal is a separate current execution call and appears only on its exact Hyperliquid group."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"asset": "wti",
"anchor": "weekly"
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"as_of": "2026-08-17T12:00:00.000Z",
"series": [
{
"mode": "signal",
"outlook": null,
"maturity": "experimental",
"asset_key": "commodity:wti",
"series_id": "commodity:wti:price-outlook:weekly",
"anchor_type": "weekly",
"asset_class": "commodity",
"spot_at_obs": null,
"basis_groups": [],
"display_name": "WTI crude oil",
"price_review": null,
"price_signals": [],
"is_primary_horizon": true,
"contributing_venues": []
}
],
"filters": {
"asset": "wti",
"anchor": "weekly",
"asset_class": null
},
"contract": "asset-price/1",
"series_count": 1
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input",
"output"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method",
"queryParams"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"asset": {
"type": "string"
},
"anchor": {
"type": "string"
},
"asset_class": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
},
"discoverable": true
},
"payment-identifier": {
"info": {
"required": false
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"required"
],
"properties": {
"id": {
"type": "string",
"pattern": "^[a-zA-Z0-9_-]+$",
"maxLength": 128,
"minLength": 16
},
"required": {
"type": "boolean"
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
}Captured payload 12 of 15
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xC3d01FD2F79d4c57aD106AB8ecc12a5dE24F97cB",
"amount": "20000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com/api/v1/latest",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Use this chronological feed of new forecasts and newly linked articles/X posts across Quotient-covered Polymarket International, Polymarket US, Kalshi, and HL Outcomes listings. Events include canonical venue routing, response-time venue odds with quote provenance, compact forecast context, and thesis, but omit resolution_pathway; use market detail for full rules context. The complete window avoids per-market fan-out."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"hours": 3,
"types": "forecast,article,x_post"
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"as_of": "2026-08-01T16:00:00Z",
"count": 1,
"types": [
"forecast",
"article",
"x_post"
],
"events": [
{
"id": "fc_9f2c1a",
"type": "forecast",
"market": {
"slug": "russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2026",
"venue": "polymarket",
"end_date": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"question": "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?",
"marketKey": "polymarket:512345",
"marketUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2026",
"sourceUrl": "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/512345",
"venue_data": {
"yes_odds": 0.36,
"volume_24h": 184233.5
},
"quotientUrl": "https://quotient.social/markets/512345",
"venue_quote": {
"venue": "polymarket",
"yes_ask": 0.36,
"yes_bid": 0.36,
"yes_last": null,
"freshness": "verified",
"market_id": "512345",
"observed_at": "2026-08-31T12:00:00Z",
"quote_method": "midpoint",
"schema_version": "1",
"venue_timestamp": "2026-08-31T12:00:00Z",
"selected_probability": 0.36
},
"condition_id": "0x1234abcd",
"seriesTicker": null,
"nativeEventId": "event-123",
"polymarketUrl": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2026",
"nativeMarketId": "512345",
"quotientMarketId": "512345"
},
"source": null,
"forecast": {
"id": "fc_9f2c1a",
"bluf": "Negotiation preconditions have hardened; no credible path to a 2026 ceasefire.",
"thesis": "Negotiation preconditions have hardened, leaving no credible path to a 2026 ceasefire.",
"probability": 0.29,
"refresh_reason": "price_move",
"delta_from_prior": -0.04
},
"occurred_at": "2026-08-01T15:14:03Z"
}
],
"window": {
"hours": 3,
"since": "2026-08-01T13:00:00Z"
}
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input",
"output"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method",
"queryParams"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"hours": {
"type": "integer",
"default": 3,
"maximum": 6,
"minimum": 1
},
"types": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
},
"discoverable": true
},
"payment-identifier": {
"info": {
"required": false
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"required"
],
"properties": {
"id": {
"type": "string",
"pattern": "^[a-zA-Z0-9_-]+$",
"maxLength": 128,
"minLength": 16
},
"required": {
"type": "boolean"
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
}Captured payload 13 of 15
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xC3d01FD2F79d4c57aD106AB8ecc12a5dE24F97cB",
"amount": "10000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com/api/v1/assets/search",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Use this to resolve companies, commodities, cryptoassets, and other underlyings by name, ticker, canonical key, UUID, platform identifier, or linked-market reference. Exact-reference results return every active directly linked market with quote provenance, Q's latest probability and paired thesis, and publication availability. Text results summarize those markets. Probabilities and theses remain tied to their exact questions."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"q": "gold",
"platform": "hyperliquid",
"material_only": true
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"query": null,
"assets": [
{
"id": "13fe79af-6d3f-47fd-8e67-f0eb23cab4f9",
"name": "Gold",
"ticker": "GOLD",
"aliases": [
"XAU"
],
"assetKey": "commodity:gold",
"relevance": {
"score": 0.018,
"matched_by": [
"graph"
],
"matched_fields": [
"asset_key"
]
},
"asset_type": "commodity",
"identifiers": [
{
"kind": "coin",
"value": "xyz:GOLD",
"platform": "hyperliquid"
}
],
"linked_markets": [
{
"slug": null,
"tags": [
"gold"
],
"event": {
"id": "KXGOLD-26AUG",
"slug": null,
"title": "Gold price in August"
},
"venue": "kalshi",
"thesis": "Q expects gold to remain above the threshold through settlement.",
"quality": {
"live": {
"n": 0,
"tier": null,
"wins": null,
"voids": null,
"losses": null,
"reason": "quality_not_computed",
"status": "unavailable",
"event_n": 0,
"last_at": null,
"first_at": null,
"return_n": 0,
"benchmark": null,
"in_sample": false,
"drawdown_n": 0,
"accuracy_pct": null,
"interval_low": null,
"return_basis": null,
"win_rate_pct": null,
"win_return_n": 0,
"interval_high": null,
"loss_return_n": 0,
"avg_return_pct": null,
"mean_advantage": null,
"p10_return_pct": null,
"p90_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_reason": "no_trade_returns",
"price_error_pct": null,
"drawdown_last_at": null,
"drawdown_first_at": null,
"median_return_pct": null,
"avg_win_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_missing_n": 0,
"max_drawdown_units": null,
"avg_loss_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_duplicate_n": 0,
"benchmark_improvement_pct": null
},
"tier": null,
"basis": "binary_accuracy",
"cohort": {
"key": "",
"label": "No comparable record"
},
"reason": "quality_not_computed",
"status": "unavailable",
"version": "track-record-quality/1",
"historical": {
"n": 0,
"tier": null,
"wins": null,
"voids": null,
"losses": null,
"reason": "quality_not_computed",
"status": "unavailable",
"event_n": 0,
"last_at": null,
"first_at": null,
"return_n": 0,
"benchmark": null,
"in_sample": false,
"drawdown_n": 0,
"accuracy_pct": null,
"interval_low": null,
"return_basis": null,
"win_rate_pct": null,
"win_return_n": 0,
"interval_high": null,
"loss_return_n": 0,
"avg_return_pct": null,
"mean_advantage": null,
"p10_return_pct": null,
"p90_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_reason": "no_trade_returns",
"price_error_pct": null,
"drawdown_last_at": null,
"drawdown_first_at": null,
"median_return_pct": null,
"avg_win_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_missing_n": 0,
"max_drawdown_units": null,
"avg_loss_return_pct": null,
"drawdown_duplicate_n": 0,
"benchmark_improvement_pct": null
},
"updated_at": null,
"assessment_source": null
},
"end_date": "2026-08-31T20:00:00Z",
"question": "Will gold settle above $2,500 in August?",
"inDispute": false,
"marketKey": "kalshi:KXGOLD-26AUG-T2500",
"marketUrl": null,
"sourceUrl": null,
"categories": [
"Commodities"
],
"volume_24h": null,
"forecast_at": "2026-08-08T14:30:00Z",
"market_odds": 0.87,
"quotientUrl": "https://quotient.social/markets/kalshi%3AKXGOLD-26AUG-T2500",
"venue_quote": {
"venue": "kalshi",
"yes_ask": 0.87,
"yes_bid": 0.87,
"yes_last": null,
"freshness": "verified",
"market_id": "KXGOLD-26AUG-T2500",
"observed_at": "2026-08-31T12:00:00Z",
"quote_method": "midpoint",
"schema_version": "1",
"venue_timestamp": "2026-08-31T12:00:00Z",
"selected_probability": 0.87
},
"has_forecast": true,
"seriesTicker": "KXGOLD",
"signal_count": 0,
"nativeEventId": "KXGOLD-26AUG",
"polymarketUrl": null,
"return_record": null,
"clarifications": null,
"forecast_count": 1,
"nativeMarketId": "KXGOLD-26AUG-T2500",
"quotientMarketId": "kalshi:KXGOLD-26AUG-T2500",
"market_updated_at": "2026-08-08T15:02:11Z",
"latest_forecast_at": "2026-08-08T14:30:00Z",
"latest_forecast_id": null,
"has_published_signal": false,
"latest_q_probability": 0.86,
"latest_forecast_delta": 0.01,
"published_signal_count": 0,
"market_odds_at_forecast": 0.84,
"latest_forecast_refresh_reason": "price_move"
}
],
"market_summary": {
"active_market_count": 1,
"markets_with_forecast": 1,
"mispriced_market_count": 0,
"mispricing_threshold_pp": 7.5,
"markets_with_published_signal": 0
},
"linked_market_count": 1
}
],
"retrieval": {
"graph": "ok",
"typesense": "unconfigured"
},
"references": [
"commodity:gold"
],
"material_only": false
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input",
"output"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method",
"queryParams"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"q": {
"type": "string"
},
"platform": {
"type": "string"
},
"reference": {
"type": "array",
"items": {
"type": "string",
"maxLength": 200,
"minLength": 1
}
},
"asset_type": {
"type": "string"
},
"material_only": {
"type": "boolean",
"default": false
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
},
"discoverable": true
},
"payment-identifier": {
"info": {
"required": false
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"required"
],
"properties": {
"id": {
"type": "string",
"pattern": "^[a-zA-Z0-9_-]+$",
"maxLength": 128,
"minLength": 16
},
"required": {
"type": "boolean"
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
}Captured payload 14 of 15
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xC3d01FD2F79d4c57aD106AB8ecc12a5dE24F97cB",
"amount": "5000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com/api/v1/assets",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Browse Quotient's canonical underlying-asset directory without forecast or venue-price data. Use this for stable Asset UUIDs and assetKey values, names, tickers, aliases, exact platform identifiers, and active directly linked market counts. The complete filtered catalog returns in one response; use asset search when the user needs linked prediction-market intelligence."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"platform": "hyperliquid",
"asset_type": "commodity"
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"assets": [
{
"id": "13fe79af-6d3f-47fd-8e67-f0eb23cab4f9",
"name": "Gold",
"ticker": "GOLD",
"aliases": [
"XAU"
],
"assetKey": "commodity:gold",
"asset_type": "commodity",
"identifiers": [
{
"kind": "coin",
"value": "xyz:GOLD",
"platform": "hyperliquid"
}
],
"linked_market_count": 7
}
]
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input",
"output"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method",
"queryParams"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"platform": {
"type": "string"
},
"asset_type": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
},
"discoverable": true
},
"payment-identifier": {
"info": {
"required": false
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"required"
],
"properties": {
"id": {
"type": "string",
"pattern": "^[a-zA-Z0-9_-]+$",
"maxLength": 128,
"minLength": 16
},
"required": {
"type": "boolean"
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
}Captured payload 15 of 15
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xC3d01FD2F79d4c57aD106AB8ecc12a5dE24F97cB",
"amount": "1000000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://quotient-api-gateway.onrender.com/api/v1/x/profile",
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Use this to build a citation-grounded profile of one X account. A high-reasoning Grok agent adaptively searches up to 365 days of history across topics and time periods within a hard three-turn ceiling, then returns evidenced interests, beliefs, behavioural tendencies, risk posture, information-processing style, and personalization hints. Every claim cites supporting posts. Matching results are shared from Quotient's cache while less than 30 days old."
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"body": {
"focus": "trading",
"handle": "vitalikbuterin",
"lookback_days": 365
},
"type": "http",
"method": "POST",
"bodyType": "json"
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"gaps": [
"No posts bearing on position sizing in the window."
],
"meta": {
"coverage": "sampled",
"cache_hit": false,
"research_mode": "adaptive",
"cache_ttl_days": 30,
"reasoning_effort": "high",
"max_research_turns": 3
},
"handle": "vitalikbuterin",
"window": {
"to_date": "2026-08-09",
"from_date": "2025-08-09",
"post_count": 36,
"lookback_days": 365
},
"beliefs": [
{
"claim": "Favours L1 simplicity over throughput maximalism.",
"post_ids": [
"1950000000000000001"
],
"confidence": "high"
}
],
"interests": [
{
"topic": "protocol decentralisation",
"weight": 0.9,
"post_ids": [
"1950000000000000001"
]
}
],
"confidence": "medium",
"tendencies": [
{
"trait": "steelmans opposing arguments",
"post_ids": [
"1950000000000000001"
],
"description": "Restates the strongest counterargument before answering it."
}
],
"display_name": "vitalik.eth",
"risk_profile": {
"posture": "long-horizon, low leverage",
"post_ids": [
"1950000000000000001"
],
"time_horizon": "multi-year",
"position_sizing": "rarely discusses sizing",
"reaction_to_loss": "publishes model revisions"
},
"recommendation_hints": {
"tone": "technical, uncertainty-explicit",
"avoid": [
"hype framing",
"short-dated leverage"
],
"market_categories": [
"crypto",
"technology"
]
},
"information_processing": {
"style": "decomposes into first principles then bounds the uncertainty",
"post_ids": [
"1950000000000000001"
],
"changes_mind_when": "shown a concrete counterexample",
"handles_ambiguity": "states explicit probabilities",
"evidence_preference": "formal arguments and measured data over narrative"
}
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input",
"output"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method",
"bodyType",
"body"
],
"properties": {
"body": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"handle"
],
"properties": {
"focus": {
"enum": [
"general",
"trading",
"reasoning"
],
"type": "string",
"default": "general",
"description": "Reweights the same search toward speculative decision-making or toward information processing. Does not add a second search."
},
"handle": {
"type": "string",
"pattern": "^@?[A-Za-z0-9_]{1,15}$",
"description": "X handle to profile, with or without a leading @."
},
"lookback_days": {
"type": "integer",
"default": 365,
"maximum": 365,
"minimum": 14,
"description": "Size of the trailing window to study. Defaults to 365 days and cannot exceed 365 days."
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"POST"
],
"type": "string"
},
"bodyType": {
"enum": [
"json"
],
"type": "string"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
},
"discoverable": true
},
"payment-identifier": {
"info": {
"required": false
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"required"
],
"properties": {
"id": {
"type": "string",
"pattern": "^[a-zA-Z0-9_-]+$",
"maxLength": 128,
"minLength": 16
},
"required": {
"type": "boolean"
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
}Can I trust it score from our own monitoring
score from our own monitoring
86/100 Solid
#26 of 102 in Finance. Bands: strong 93+, solid 75+, mixed 55+, weak below 55.
- Reliability
- 100% uptime since 10-08
- Compliance
- A 14/14 checks pass
- Price
- $0.005 to $1.00 p31 in Finance
- Risk
- clean no risk flag
- Traction
- $0.00 30d 0 buyers
14/14 compliance checks
- 402 payload captured
- accepts[] array present
- payTo address recoverable
- payTo at accepts[0].payTo (conformant shape)
- payTo is a valid on-chain address
- atomic price declared
- atomic price in a sane range
- asset (token) address declared
- network resolves to CAIP-2
- payment scheme declared
- served over HTTPS
- declares the current x402 version (2)
- EIP-712 domain parameters present on every EVM entry
- x402 v2 envelope delivered in the payment-required header
402 terms unchanged since 2026-10-08. Last up 2026-10-08.
── Site signals
- homepage reachable
- openapi doc
- pricing page
- llms.txt
- robots.txt
- terms page
How the score works
What the score read on this service: status online, 100% uptime, latest daily rollup (no 30d window yet), 756ms response p95, x402 compliance 14 of 14, $0.005 price against the category, on-chain traction measured. Each of those is measured, and each is published in full below.
The score comes from our own monitoring, never from reviews, operator claims, or a language model: reliability, x402 compliance, price against the category, a deterministic risk flag, and a small on-chain traction term, weighted by ranking generation 3. It is not placement anyone can buy: the paid verify tier is reported beside it and is not one of its inputs. Every component below stays published and read-only.
Bands on the 0 to 100 measured score: strong at 93 and above, solid from 75, mixed from 55, weak below 55. Price and speed are scored against the whole category field, every listing in it that carries no danger flag, the scored service included, so the score places a service in its own field.
It is a score inside Finance, and only there: price and speed are scored against the whole category field, every listing in it that carries no danger flag, the scored service included, which here means 102 listings, this one among them: the same 102 the position above is counted against. When the two differ, the field is the wider one, because a listing we have measured too little of to rank still sits in the field the price and the speed are normalized over. The same service in a different field would read differently. The same engine answers GET /api/v1/best, and asked for a different pool (the whole directory, or another filter) it returns a different number for this service under this same ranking generation. Neither is more correct: they answer different questions, and the methodology states which is which.
Traction is a conservative undercount.
All measured facts
What it does
Quotient prediction-market signals across Polymarket and Kalshi: market search and lookup, mispriced markets, asset price outlooks, portfolio, and X profile and search data.
Quotient is a listed x402 Finance API. Captured payment terms name Base. Monitoring and settlement figures below describe the observations available to this directory; an unpaid HTTP 402 check does not prove that a paid call will deliver.
Assessment computed at . Latest service check observed at . Service data JSON · Measurement methodology.
Page rendered at . This response time is separate from the observation and computation times attached to each measurement.
Latest endpoint observation: . Latest price capture: . Prices are recorded quotes, not a promise of availability. Token assets and payment terms are listed separately. Endpoint data JSON · Price history JSON · Measurement methodology.
Assessment computed at . Uptime uses the stated daily-rollup window; response times are in milliseconds, compliance is passed/evaluated checks, and traction is a measured settlement floor. The comparison score is out of 100 within this category. Assessment JSON · Measurement methodology.
Observed daily coverage: 2026-09-09 to 2026-10-08 UTC. Daily monitoring and settlement rollups do not expose their computation time; a bucket date is not an update timestamp. Uptime and response JSON · Volume JSON · Buyers JSON · Measurement methodology.
Ranked from the measured category pool, refreshed at most once a minute. The comparison has no persisted computation timestamp; the assessment time above belongs to this service only. Ranking API documentation · Ranking methodology.
x402 List home · Services · Finance
- uptime · latest daily rollup
- -
- uptime 7d
- -
- uptime 30d
- -
- uptime 90d
- -
- response p95
- 756ms
- avg response
- 756ms
- total checks
- 1
Measured on the unpaid 402 handshake, not the paid call. A service can 402 correctly and still fail after payment.
- price (min)
- $0.005
- price (max)
- $1.00
- category percentile (min)
- p31 in Finance
- category percentile (max)
- p82 in Finance
- endpoints / prices
- 15 / 4
- model
- tiered
- stability
- 100%
No deterministic risk flag. Risk fires only on an exact blocklist match, or a reserved-brand name with a mismatched verified payTo. Never from low uptime, a high price, or a model guess.
- domain age
- -
- registrar
- -
- hosting
- free host
- domain created
- ---
Identity facts, not a risk score.
- assessment volume 30d
- $0.00
- exact assessment volume 30d (USD)
- 0
- assessment recorded at (UTC)
- 2026-10-08T00:03:07.801Z
- buyers 30d
- 0
- settlements 30d
- 0
- measured since
- --- (start of our harvest window)
- last settlement
- ---
- top buyer share
- -
- trend 7d vs 30d
- -
- networks
- eip155:8453
- volume all-time
- $0
- settlements all-time
- 0
- median settlement 30d
- -
- max settlement 30d
- -
Assessment volume uses the latest 30d assessment. Over time sums daily address snapshots, rounded to cents and refreshed separately. The two sources can differ in timing, precision and shared-address attribution. Amounts use cents for comparison; known sub-cent values keep up to 12 significant digits. The exact stored assessment value is shown above.
Conservative undercount: only USDC settlements via facilitators we measure are counted. A measured floor, not an estimate.
Top buyer share is part of the ranking score: a higher share lowers the traction part of the score, by up to half when one address holds all 30d volume.
- member since
- 2026-10-08
Recent checks
| Checked at (UTC) | Status | HTTP | Response | Endpoints |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Online | 402 | 198ms | 15 | |
| Online | 402 | 443ms | 15 | |
| Online | 402 | 209ms | 15 | |
| Online | 402 | 227ms | 15 | |
| Online | 402 | 297ms | 15 | |
| Online | 402 | 166ms | 15 | |
| Online | 402 | 203ms | 15 | |
| Online | 402 | 318ms | 15 | |
| Online | 402 | 168ms | 15 | |
| Online | 402 | 756ms | 15 |
Changes0 in 30d
No changes recorded in the last 30 days.
Over time
On-chain volume daily snapshots, USD 30d: $0.00, peak $2.20 on 09-11
volume no data in the payload
Distinct buyers per dayDistinct buyers per day
Uptime no completed-day data
- Volume 30d
- $0.00
- Uptime
- no completed-day data
More charts
Response time daily average, ms min 293ms, avg 293ms, max 293ms
09-09 to 10-08* UTC
Each series spans only the dates it has data for. Every series is also served as JSON at /api, /scores, /volume and /buyers.
Values
* today so far, partial (UTC).
The uptime summary counts completed UTC days only. The strip, readouts and table retain today's partial reading.
Daily snapshot total, 30d: $8.32, peak $2.20 on 09-11. The visible 30d total in Traction comes from the latest assessment. These sources can differ in their window, refresh time, cent rounding and shared-address attribution.
Daily address snapshots: 2026-09-09 to 2026-10-08 UTC; * today so far, partial (UTC). Daily snapshots store cents. A recorded $0.00 with settlements cannot distinguish exact zero from volume rounded away. Lost precision is unavailable here.
Settlement volume uses the stored USD valuation of tracked payments; it is distinct from token quantities. USD-pegged assets are valued at 1 USD per token in these rollups. The measured settlement floor does not cover all payments to this service.
Assessment history last recorded at . Each UTC day uses its last recorded run; missing readings stay unmeasured. Assessment history JSON · Measurement methodology.
| Day | Volume | Buyers | Settlements | Uptime | Response | Compliance | Price percentile | Site signals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | $0.06 | 4 | 7 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.23 | 4 | 25 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-11 | $2.20 | 5 | 23 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.02 | 2 | 2 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.08 | 3 | 8 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.02 | 2 | 2 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.02 | 2 | 2 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.02 | 2 | 2 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.04 | 1 | 4 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-18 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.02 | 2 | 2 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.04 | 3 | 5 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.10 | 4 | 13 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-22 | $2.19 | 5 | 21 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.03 | 2 | 3 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.09 | 4 | 9 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.37 | 4 | 33 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.36 | 5 | 35 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.14 | 4 | 14 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.20 | 4 | 19 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.22 | 7 | 24 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.13 | 5 | 15 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.17 | 5 | 23 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.17 | 5 | 19 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.14 | 3 | 16 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.17 | 4 | 18 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.29 | 5 | 30 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.35 | 6 | 36 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.36 | 5 | 39 | no data | no data | no data | no data | no data |
| 2026-10-08* | $0.09 | 2 | 6 | 100% | 293.00ms | 14/14 | p31 | 2/6 |
Alternatives in Finance
5 of 101 other ranked services in Finance, ordered by the same measured score.
Own this service?
Keep this listing accurate. Ownership is proven with a domain check and every change is reviewed by hand.
Update this listingEarn the verified tier: x402list pays a real call to this endpoint and, if it delivers, the service is delivery-verified. The fee covers the cost of the probe, not the badge; there is no refund if the call does not deliver. Agent and API only, no in-browser signing. See /api.
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Delisting
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